DPRK ReportThe following "DPRK Report" is the product of a joint project between the Center for Nonproliferation Studies (Monterey Institute of International Studies, Monterey, California, USA) and the Institute for Contemporary International Problems (ICIP) (located at the Diplomatic Academy, Moscow, Russia). It is funded by a grant from the Rockefeller Foundation and is written by Russian analysts associated with the ICIP. THE DPRK REPORT, No. 8 (July-August 1997)1. Conditions in the North Korean CountrysideAccording to Russian observers, although the situation in North Korea’s agricultural sector remains grave, it is no longer getting worse. External aid and commercial purchases of grain on the world market have helped North Korea to avert a widespread famine. Basically, the DPRK has enough grain now to feed its population at a minimum level, and, if many citizens still suffer from malnutrition, it is mainly because of distribution problems. Grain is stolen, not shipped on schedule, and poorly stored, among other difficulties. The North Korean leadership realizes that it cannot rely indefinitely on imported grain and is taking various measures to revive the agrarian sector.
All of the above-mentioned measures, according to Russian observers, will help the North Korean population to survive, but at a very dear price: the whole nation will have to continue concentrating all its energy on finding and securing food. Industry, science, and education are being forgotten and forsaken. 2. Dissenting Views in the DPRKSome North Koreans scholars, scientists, trade representatives, and diplomats--in conversations with Russians in North Korea--are revealing their dissatisfaction with the current situation in the DPRK, blaming current difficulties on the present leadership and personally on Kim Jong Il. The critics complain that Kim Jong Il does not possess the talent and knowledge necessary for effective leadership and, moreover, that he is surrounded by "primitive" people who care only about personal luxury and well-being. Dissenters point out that Pyongyang should stop its isolationist, confrontational policies and concentrate on reforms. Chinese reforms are cited as a "perfect example" for North Korea to follow. Reforms in Vietnam also seem to be of considerable interest to North Korean dissenters. However, according to these North Koreans, the top leadership resolutely opposes copying the Chinese and Vietnamese models. Pyongyang argues through party propaganda channels that the Chinese and Vietnamese-type reforms will undermine the leading role of the Korean Workers’ Party (KWP) and create a class of capitalists who will exploit workers and peasants even worse than during the imperial period. KWP propaganda predicts that the reform process both in China and Vietnam will sooner or later provoke political turmoil and a bloody class struggle. The two countries will be thrown back to their positions during prior periods of world history when they were poor, backward, disorganized, and controlled by foreign imperialists. The DPRK, according to hardliners in the government, will face even graver troubles if it adopts reforms. As soon as the country introduces private enterprise and opens its borders, South Korean "puppet" authorities and greedy capitalists will immediately flood the North and turn it into "hell" overnight. North Korean dissenters are afraid that due to the narrow-mindedness of the top leadership and its fear of changes, no reforms can be expected in the foreseeable future. The North Korean population will have to continue suffering to the very end--until the full collapse of economic life in the country. 3. Corruption in the North Korean EliteThe shortage of consumer goods, especially foodstuffs, numerous restrictions on economic and social activities, and the totalitarian political system provide ample opportunities for corruption in the DPRK. As can be construed from conversations with North Korean citizens, observations on the scene, as well as items in the DPRK media and party propaganda channels, corruption has penetrated all layers of the country’s officialdom and encompasses most bureaucrats who are entitled to make even the most trivial decisions. All important appointments that are not organized by the supreme leader himself take place only after a certain price is paid. In many cases, it is not money but rather fashionable goods like Japanese television sets, cameras, or French perfume. It has become common practice for grateful North Korean ambassadors or foreign trade representatives to open secret accounts for their Pyongyang bosses in banks abroad. At the local level, bribes are due for additional quantities of grain, permission to travel to the capital city, licenses to sell produce at the peasants’ markets, help in sending one’s children to a good school, allocation of a piece of land for private use, dodging the draft, and for hundreds of other big and small favors. The payment is made in money, goods, luxuries, return services, and even work for the benefactor. Corruption has become so widespread that it is creating serious social tensions: the majority of people don’t get what they are entitled to, while those who can, are ready to, and know how to give bribes are flourishing. The fight against corruption has taken on the usual forms in a totalitarian society: show trials, severe punishment for the culprits, and an intensive propaganda campaign meant to convince the populace that corruption has no place in a socialist society. However, the phenomenon of corruption continues to grow in this country, which is being hit hard simultaneously by a deep economic, social, and, increasingly, ideological/political crisis. ICIP Moscow
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