Middle East/Africa [2004-1996]
All CNS nonproliferation content related to the Middle East and Africa, including Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Libya, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, and Syria.
Year: Present-2011 | 2010-2005 | 2004-1996
Posted: September 27, 2004
IAEA Board Gives Iran Yet Another Chance- Despite repeated, strenuous attempts, the United States could not convince
the IAEA Board of Governors to establish an October 31 deadline to report Iran
to the Security Council for violating its nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT)
obligations.
Feature Story by Jean du Preez and María Lorenzo Sobrado.
Posted: September 2004
Was Libyan WMD Disarmament a Significant Success for Nonproliferation?- In a stunning declaration on December 19, 2003, the Libyan government announced its intention to fully disarm its weapons of mass destruction (WMD) arsenal.
This issue brief will examine the reasons behind Libya decision to disarm, the benefits, and the true extent of Libya's WMD arsenal.
An issue brief by Sammy Salama for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).
Posted: August 12, 2004
A Preemptive Attack on Iran's Nuclear Facilities: Possible Consequences- There are reports that the Bush administration has seriously considered an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities but opted
to put it on the back burner for the time being.
A CNS Feature Story by Sammy Salama and Karen Ruster.
Posted: July 6, 2004
IAEA Board Deplores Iran's Failure to Come into Full Compliance: Is Patience with Iran Running Out?- On Friday, June 18, 2004, the Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) unanimously adopted a resolution reprimanding Iran for failing to act in full compliance with its international safeguards obligations.
An issue brief by Peter Crail and Jean du Preez for the Nuclear Threat Initiative.
Posted: March 30, 2004
Possible Suspects and Motives for the Suicide Bombings In Iraq- Suicide bombing attacks are becoming a weekly if not daily fixture in post-war Iraq. To date, there have been more
than 40 suicide bombing attacks.
Feature Story by Sammy Salama.
Posted: January 30, 2004
In Post-War Iraq, Placating the Shi'a is Paramount- Leading figures among the Iraqi Shi'a majority reject the plan to postpone transfer of Iraqi
governance to a provisional government, and are demanding direct and open elections prior to the July 1st deadline.
Feature Story by Sammy Salama, Kathleen Thompson, and Jennifer Chalmers.
Posted: January 8, 2004
Missile Defence Myopia: Lessons from the Iraq War [PDF format]- An article by Dennis M. Gormley for Survival.
Posted: December 24, 2003
Libya and Nonproliferation- On 19 December, Libya announced that it would halt its Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)
programs and eliminate any stockpiles of weapons or materials under full verification by the international community.
Before examining Libya's intentions and analyzing its potential implications, it is essential to review Libya's capabilities in the WMD realm.
CNS Feature Story by Anjali Bhattacharjee and Sammy Salama.
Posted: December 1, 2003
Ambassador Ekéus Speaks at MIIS on Detecting WMD in Iraq- On November 14, 2003 in Irvine Auditorium, Ekéus, a former Swedish
ambassador to the United States, also discussed the lessons that emerged from 12
years of international efforts to uncover Iraq's weapon
programs.
Updated: December 1, 2003
IAEA's Resolution on Iran: A Troubling Past With a Hopeful Future?- The latest report by International Atomic Energy Agency
(IAEA) Director-General Mohamed ElBaradei, on the implementation of the NPT safeguards agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran,
provides both troubling and reassuring details on Iran's nuclear program.
Now includes the IAEA Resolution.
Posted: November 21, 2003
The Historical Roots of Current Terrorist Tactics and Methods- To best understand these tactics, one needs to return to the
roots of the Shi'i-Sunni conflict and explore how early Islamic
history continues to impact the attitudes and religious interpretations of
militant extremist Islamist groups.
Feature Story by Sammy Salama and Kathleen Thompson.
Posted: June 26, 2003
Russia's Nuclear and Missile Technology Assistance to Iran- Russian assistance for the Iranian
nuclear program has long been an irritant in the U.S.-Russian relations. The
revelations concerning Iran's hitherto unknown uranium enrichment efforts,
which propelled Iran's nuclear ambitions to the center of the
world's attention, added a new dimension to the controversy.
By Michael Jasinski.
Posted: June 18, 2003
Iran Rebuked for Failing to Comply with IAEA Safeguards- The 35 member Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) on 18 June 2003
fell short of declaring Iran in violation of it obligations under the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty
(NPT) and its IAEA safeguards agreement that stem from these obligations.
Feature Story by Jean du Preez and Lawrence Scheinman.
Posted: May 30, 2003
What's Behind U.S. Nonproliferation Sanctions Against Norinco?- The Bush administration's decision to impose a ban on imports
from the China North Industries Group (Norinco)
and its subsidiaries for transfers of dual-use equipment to a company involved
in Iran's ballistic missile program marks a significant shift in the Bush
administration's nonproliferation policy.
Feature Story by Phillip Saunders and Stephanie Lieggi.
Posted: May 20, 2003
Iran's Secret Quest for the Bomb- "At the upcoming June meeting of the UN's International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Washington wants the agency to declare Iran in material breach of its non-proliferation obligations."
An op-ed by Leonard S. Spector for the YaleGlobal online.
Updated: April 9, 2003
Iraq Special Collection- Focuses on Iraq's weapons of mass destruction and UNSCOM.
Updated: April 9, 2003
Special Reports on the War in Iraq- A collection of reports including:
Posted: April 8, 2003
North Korean Cruise Missile Tests--and Iraqi Cruise Missile Attacks--Raise Troubling Questions for Missile Defenses- "In the end, hedging against the cruise missile threat depends as much on developing more effective nonproliferation policies as it does on planning for more versatile missile defenses."
Feature Story by Dennis Gormley.
Posted: March 27, 2003
Russian Nuclear Exports to Iran: U.S. Policy Change Needed- On March 29, the State Department is scheduled to report to Congress
on nuclear proliferation prevention in Iran.[1]
Part of the report is likely to focus on Russia's role in Iran's
nuclear development.
Feature Story by Cristina Chuen.
Posted: March 26, 2003
Turkey's Position in the Iraq Operation: Bridge or Barrier?- "The underlying reason for Turkey's ambivalence is that it is caught between its political priorities and strategic relationship with the United States."
A report by Sebnem Udum.
Posted: March 25, 2003
Just Following (Saddam Hussein's) Orders- "Documents taken in Iraq after the first Persian Gulf war showed the extent to which Saddam Hussein hoped to have his soldiers and even civilians exploit prisoners of war, particularly downed pilots."
An op-ed by Ibrahim al-Marashi for the New York Times.
Posted: March 21, 2003
Will Kirkuk's Oil Fields Burn?- It seems likely that any agreement between the Kurds and a post-Saddam government will hinge on the issue of Kirkuk.
The question remains, "what will be left of the Kirkuk oil fields after the war?"
Feature Story by Ibrahim Al-Marashi.
Posted: March 16, 2003
Iraq Missile Profile: Scud Missile Preparation and Launch- A profile by Tim McCarthy for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).
Posted: March 10, 2003
CNS Iraq Inspections DatabasePosted: March 7, 2003
Disarming Iraq by Force: WMD Stakes and Scenarios- While a U.S.-led war to disarm Iraq appears increasingly probable, anticipating the consequences of the coming conflict is not a simple matter. The stakes in the coming clash include a wide range of possible positive and negative consequences.
Feature Story by Michael Barletta.
Posted: March 4, 2003
The Al Samoud Missile- A description and technical evaluation of the Al Samoud missile, by Dr. Robert Schmucker, Schmucker Technologie for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).
Posted: March 2003
To Comply or Not to Comply: Outline of the UN Inspections Mechanism in Iraq- Twelve years after Iraq's invasion of Kuwait and the subsequent U.S.-led Desert Storm operation, the United Nations continues to persevere in the
process of disarming Iraq of its weapons of mass destruction (WMD) through inspections and monitoring.
An issue brief by Victor Mizin for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).
Posted: February 26, 2003
Weapons of Mass Destruction in the Middle East- One of the most volatile and war-torn regions of the world, the Middle East is racked with disputes over religion, culture,
land, and water. With the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) in the region, these disputes have already brought
about the use of these terrible tools of modern warfare, and concern regarding their future use lingers in the minds of citizens
and leaders in the region and beyond.
An issue brief by Gitty M. Amini for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).
Posted: February 17, 2003
Russia's Views On the Crisis in Iraq- In the wake of U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell's U.N. address
on February 5, 2003, it quickly became evident that his presentation did
not have an immediate effect on Russia's position.
Feature Story by Michael Jasinski.
Posted: December 31, 2002
Al-Qa`ida and Weapons of Mass Destruction- The world's media have reported no less than 56 separate incidents involving al-Qa`ida and WMD, 36 of which have come to light since September 2001.
Posted: December 22, 2002
Chart: Al-Qa`ida's WMD Activities- The following table provides a comprehensive listing of reports concerning al-Qa`ida's involvement with chemical, biological,
radiological and nuclear weapons in the period between 1997 and December 2002.
Posted: October 2002
Dusty Agents and the Iraqi Chemical Weapons Arsenal- The New York Times recently reported that, according to an Iraqi defector, Iraq has devised and produced a solid VX formulation that could be
described as a "dusty" agent. The properties of this agent include the ability to adhere and penetrate gaps in chemical-protective garments.
An issue brief by Eric Croddy for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).
Posted: October 11, 2002
Iraq Biological Weapons Facilities- The following maps and associated text provide locations and detailed descriptions of Iraq's biological weapon (BW) sites
and facilities.
By CNS staff for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).
Posted: September 30, 2002
Saddam's Security and Intelligence Network- "Iraq's security apparatus is the most important instrument of state control in Saddam's regime and has been fundamental in the preservation of his rule. "
A report by Ibrahim Al-Marashi. It includes a chart outlining the Iraqi security apparatus.
Posted: September 23, 2002
Invade and Unleash?
"Saddam Hussein might see his biological weapons as an asset to be used only if he is on the brink of destruction."
An op-ed by William C. Potter for the Washington Post.
Posted: June 10, 2002
Vaccinate Saddam Against Invasion?
An Op-Ed for the International Herald Tribune by Leonard S. Spector.
Posted: Created March 29, 2002
Developments in Iraq in Light of September 11: Washington D.C. Round Table
On January 17, 2002, the Monterey Institute Center for Nonproliferation Studies hosted one of a series of conference calls with U.S.
and European experts to review the impacts of the events of September 11 on arms control and nonproliferation.
Posted: January 23, 2002
Ricin Found in London: An al-Qa`ida Connection?
In January, British authorities arrested seven men suspected of producing ricin in their north London apartment.
At least one had attended an al-Qa`ida training camp in Afghanistan.
Posted: 26 September 2001
Reinstitute Iraq Weapons Inspections
An Op-Ed for the Boston Globe by Leonard S. Spector and Jonathan B. Tucker.
Posted: Created 14 September 2001
Overview of Weapons of Mass Destruction Capabilities in the Middle East and South Asia
If the United States starts military actions against either Afghanistan or Iraq,
its forces will be operating in a region of the world where many countries have
weapons of mass destruction (WMD), or are seeking to develop them.
Posted: Created 14 September 2001
United States Seeks Pakistan's Assistance
Attention is turning to the role Pakistan can play in assisting a U.S. military strike on Afghanistan and in capturing alleged terrorist leader Usama Bin Laden.
Updated: September 2001
Weapons of Mass Destruction in the Middle East
This page includes WMD profiles of 11 countries, regional overviews, and reference tables of
ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and combat aircraft deployed in this volatile region.
Posted: Fall-Winter 2001
The Iraqi Maze: Searching for a Way Out
An article for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol. 8.3.
by David Albright and Kevin O'Neill
Posted: Fall-Winter 2001
Israel and Chemical/Biological Weapons: History, Deterrence, and Arms Control [PDF format]
An article for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol. 8.3.
by Avner Cohen
Posted: Summer 2001
Missile Messages: Iran Strikes MKO Bases in Iraq [PDF format]
A report for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol. 8.2.
by Amin Tarzi and Darby Parliament.
Posted: Summer 2001
An Analysis of Iraqi WMD Strategy [PDF format]
An article for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol. 8.2.
by Amatzia Baram.
Posted: Summer 2001
Prospects for Arms Control and Proliferation in the Middle East [PDF format]
A viewpoint for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol. 8.2.
by Nabil Fahmy.
Updated: 14 March 2001
WMD Terrorism and Usama Bin Laden
"The current trial of Usama Bin Laden and others for the August 7, 1998
bombings of the U.S. embassies in Nairobi, Kenya and Dar al-Salaam,
Tanzania, has shed new light on the efforts of Bin Laden and his terrorist
organization, Al-Qa'ida ("The Base"), to acquire weapons of
mass destruction."
Posted: 2001
Profile of a Proliferator: Iraq's Biological Weapons Program
Washington D.C. Office 2002 Briefing Series, February 2, 2001.
Posted: 2001
Iranian Use of Chemical Weapons: A Critical Analysis of Past Allegations
Washington D.C. Office 2001 Briefing Series, March 7, 2001.
Posted: Fall-Winter 2000
Parameters of Stable Deterrence in a Proliferated Middle East: Lessons from the 1991 Gulf War [PDF format]
An article for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol. 7.3.
by Gerald M. Steinberg
Posted: Fall-Winter 2000
The South African Chemical and Biological Warfare Program: An Overview [PDF format]
An article for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol. 7.3.
by Chandré Gould & Peter I. Folb
Posted: 15 August 2000
Iran's Missile Test Sends Mixed Messages
"On Saturday July 15th, the Islamic Republic of Iran carried out the anticipated second
test firing of the 1,350 km-range ballistic missile named Shehab-3."
An Op-Ed by Amin Tarzi.
Posted: 24 April 2000
Egypt and the Middle East Resolution at the NPT 2000 Review Conference
"A pragmatic approach to addressing the Resolution on the Middle East at
the 2000 Review Conference is essential as the Resolution is going to be
the focus of discussion for Egypt and some other Arab States." An article by Rebecca Stevens and Amin Tarzi.
Posted: Winter 1999
Russian Nuclear and Missile Exports to Iran [PDF format]
A report for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol. 6.2.
by Fred Wehling.
Posted: July 1999
Reported Nuclear Trafficking Incidents Involving Turkey, 1993-1999
Public reports indicate that Turkey may be a significant transshipment route for nuclear smuggling from the former Soviet Union (FSU).
Updated: August 1999
Draft Proposals for New UN Iraq Monitoring Body
Posted: Spring-Summer 1999
Does Saudi Arabia Have or Seek Chemical or Biological Weapons? [PDF format]
A report for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol. 6.3.
by Dany Shoham.
Updated: April 1999
The Missile Crisis over Cyprus
This collection provides materials regarding the sale of Russian S-300PMU-1 air-defense missile batteries to Cyprus.
Posted: March 1999
South Africa's Nuclear Weapons Program
Posted: Fall 1998
Iran's Threat Perceptions and Arms Control Policies [PDF format]
An article for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol. 6.1.
by Peter Jones.
Posted: Fall 1998
Chemical Weapons in the Sudan: Allegations and Evidence [PDF format]
A report for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol. 6.1.
by Michael Barletta.
Posted: July 1998
Iran's Nuclear-Related Facilities
Despite international efforts to curtail Iran's nuclear energy program, this Middle East state has
scored significant successes in acquiring technologies and building facilities...
Posted: 1 March 1998
Lessons of Iranian Missile Programs for U.S. Nonproliferation Policy [PDF format]
An article for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol. 5.3.
by Aaron Karp
Posted: 1 January 1998
Israel and the Evolution of U.S. Nonproliferation Policy: The Critical Decade (1958-1968) [PDF format]
An article for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol. 5.2.
by Avner Cohen.
Updated: 1998
The Mystery of the Sunken Gyros
Posted: Fall 1997
Syria's Chemical and Biological Weapons: Assessing Capabilities and Motivations [PDF format]
A report for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol 5.1.
by M. Zuhair Diab
Posted: 1 March 1997
Evidence Iraq Used Chemical Weapons During the 1991 Persian Gulf War [PDF format]
A report for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol 4.3.
by Jonathan B. Tucker
Posted: 1 March 1996
Monitoring and Verification in a Noncooperative Environment: Lessons From the U.N. Experience in Iraq [PDF format]
The Nonproliferation Review
Posted: 1 January 1996
Nuclear-Related Trade and Cooperation Developments for Selected States [PDF format]
The Nonproliferation Review
Year: Present-2011 | 2010-2005 | 2004-1996
|
![Visit MIIS [ Image: MIIS Logo ]](/_navimages/logos/miis_logo_white_260x55_80percent.png "Visit MIIS [ Image: MIIS Logo ]"){kind=logo}
@CNS Updates