Missiles/Space
All CNS nonproliferation content on missile and space proliferation.
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General
Posted: December 4, 2009
Winning on Ballistic Missiles but Losing on Cruise: The Missile Proliferation Battle
Posted: July 22, 2009
![View article [Image: Tomahawk missile launch. Source: DoD]](http://www.nti.org/media/images/making-code-conduct-relevant-02-lg.jpg?_=1316466791 "View article [Image: Tomahawk missile launch. Source: DoD]")
Making the Hague Code of Conduct Relevant
- The Hague Code of Conduct (HCoC) against the Proliferation of Ballistic Missiles is decidedly minimalist in its objectives.
Posted: June 8, 2009
Panel Discussion
VIDEO | Legal and Policy Implications of Ambiguous Rocket Launches
- Learning from the North Korean case, panelists explore the rights and responsibilities of launching and overflown states.
Posted: November 26, 2008
Experts Concerned About Missile Proliferation- Dennis M. Gormley gave a presentation at a meeting held by the American Association for the Advancement of Science.
Posted: October 8, 2008
The Risks and Challenges of a Cruise Missile Tipping Point- an Issue Brief by Dennis M. Gormley for the Nuclear Threat Initiative.
Posted: July 24, 2008
Book Launch: Missile Contagion: Cruise Missile Proliferation and the Threat to International Security [PDF]- by Dennis M. Gormley. This event took place in Washington, D.C. at noon, on Thursday, July 24, 2008. View link for more details.
Posted: April 10, 2008
Cruise Missile Proliferation
- Seminar featuring Dennis Gormley on his book, Missile Contagion.
- [66 minutes, NukeTube Multimedia page]
Posted: June 5, 2007
Missile Nonproliferation Challenges: Assessment and Prospects for Multilateral Solutions- A presentation by Dennis M. Gormley for a seminar sponsored by the European Union's Institute for Security Studies.
Posted: May 9, 2006
Cruise Control- an article by Dennis M. Gormley for the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.
Posted: April 27, 2006
Land-attack Cruise Missiles Pose Growing Threat- An article summarizing the talk given by Dennis Gormley on April 27, 2006, at the "Cruise Missile & IED Defense Conference: Joint Engagement of Time-Critical Air & Ground Targets," sponsored by the Defense News Media Group.
Posted: January 26, 2006
Space Conflict or Space Cooperation?- U.S. defense policy assumes space weapon deployment is the answer to the vulnerability of space assets. However, "cooperative engagement" with possible rivals in space, and steering programs toward U.S. interests may be an equally viable option.
CNS Feature Story by James Clay Moltz.
Posted: March 10, 2004
The Threat of Missiles and Unmanned Air Vehicles (UAVs)- Testimony by Dennis M. Gormley
Subcommittee on National Security, Emerging Threats, and International Affairs off the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Government Reform
Posted: February 2, 2004
Moonstruck: What's Up with U.S. Space Policy?- The announcement by President George W. Bush at NASA on January 14,
2003, of plans to establish a permanent base on the Moon has stirred the pot in
a long-simmering debate over the future course of U.S. space exploration.
Feature Story by James Clay Moltz.
Posted: November 6, 2003
Sweeping the Skies- Even if small nuclear warheads are employed in U.S. defenses, there will be no immaculate interceptions.
An article by Peter D. Zimmerman and Charles D. Ferguson for the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.
Posted: August 14, 2003
Exploring Linkages among Missile Proliferation, Missile Defense, and Space Security- "Although missiles, missile defense technology, and space issues are
intricately related, most policy analysis tends to treat each in a separate
category. This tendency causes policymakers to miss the linkages among them and
the overlap in the issues that affect developments in each of the other sectors."
Feature Story by James Clay Moltz.
Posted: April 8, 2003
North Korean Cruise Missile Tests--and Iraqi Cruise Missile Attacks--Raise Troubling Questions for Western Missile Defenses- "In the end, hedging against the cruise missile threat depends as much on developing more effective nonproliferation policies as it does on planning for more versatile missile defenses."
Feature Story by Dennis Gormley.
Posted: Last Updated: January 2003
Nuclear & Missile Database- Information on nuclear technology, missile developments, and transactions between selected countries.
Posted: July 30, 2002
Future Security in Space: Commercial, Military, and Arms Control Trade-Offs- Occasional Paper #10 continues a collaboration between the Center for Nonproliferation Studies and the Mountbatten Centre for International Studies at the University of Southampton. This publication is a series of papers identifying areas of common ground in the field of future space activity.
James Clay Moltz, ed.
Updated: July 2002
Future Space Security- Today, only the United States and Russia have tested space weapons of any sort, but a handful of other countries (including India and China) are believed to be conducting at least initial research into lasers and kinetic kill systems intended for space attack.
An issue brief by Dr. Clay Moltz for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).
Posted: April 15, 2002
Space Weapons or Space Arms Control?- Feature Story by James Clay Moltz.
Posted: Created April 5, 2002
Breaking the Deadlock on Space Arms Control- An article by James Clay Moltz for Arms Control Today.
Top
Americas
Posted: February 16, 2004
Missile Defense and Space Policy: 2004 Presidential Candidate Positions- President George W. Bush and the leading Democratic presidential contenders offer differing views on missile defense, the weaponization of space, and space exploration.
CNS Feature Story by Caitlin Baczuk and Rebecca Schauer.
Posted: February 2, 2004
Moonstruck: What's Up with U.S. Space Policy?- The announcement by President George W. Bush at NASA on January 14,
2003, of plans to establish a permanent base on the Moon has stirred the pot in
a long-simmering debate over the future course of U.S. space exploration.
Feature Story by James Clay Moltz.
Posted: May 30, 2003
What's Behind U.S. Nonproliferation Sanctions Against Norinco?- The Bush administration's decision to impose a ban on imports
from the China North Industries Group (Norinco)
and its subsidiaries for transfers of dual-use equipment to a company involved
in Iran's ballistic missile program marks a significant shift in the Bush
administration's nonproliferation policy.
Feature Story by Phillip Saunders and Stephanie Lieggi.
Posted: February 2003
Russia's Approach to the U.S. Missile Defense Program- Russia considered the ABM Treaty as the cornerstone of strategic stability and one of the most important strategic documents between Moscow and Washington.
An issue brief by Victor Mizin for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).
Posted: July 22, 2002
China's Space Capabilities and the Strategic Logic of Anti-Satellite Weapons- In recent years, some U.S. politicians and
analysts have claimed that China's reported efforts to develop
anti-satellite (ASAT) weapons pose a direct threat to U.S. space assets (and
thus U.S. space dominance).
Feature Story by Phillip Saunders, Jing-dong Yuan, Stephanie Lieggi, and Angela Deters.
Updated: July 2002
Future Space Security- Today, only the United States and Russia have tested space weapons of any sort, but a handful of other countries (including India and China) are believed to be conducting at least initial research into lasers and kinetic kill systems intended for space attack.
An issue brief by Dr. Clay Moltz for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).
Posted: May 14, 2002
"START III": An End Or Beginning of Negotiations- "During their meeting on May 23-25, Presidents George W. Bush and
Vladimir Putin will sign a new agreement on the reduction of strategic offensive
weapons, often referred to -- especially in the Russian press -- as
'START III.'"
Feature Story by Nikolai Sokov.
Posted: April 15, 2002
Space Weapons or Space Arms Control?- Feature Story by James Clay Moltz.
Top
Middle East
Posted: October 7, 2010
Beyond Missile Defense: Alternative Means to Address Iran's Ballistic Missile Threat [Summary Only]- Miles A. Pomper and Cole J. Harvey, for Arms Control Association.
Posted: February 23, 2009
Give Iran a Break- It is unfortunate that Iran receives equally harsh reaction to military missile tests and a peaceful satellite launch.
Liviu Horovitz and Gaukhar Mukhatzhanova wrote a letter to the editor of the International Herald Tribune.
Posted: April 4, 2007
Iran's Announcement of a Space Rocket Test: Fact or Fiction?- an article by Khalid Hilal and Jack Boureston for WMD Insights.
Updated: September 27, 2003
Iran Special Collection- Contains information on nuclear- and treaty-related issues.
Posted: January 8, 2004
Missile Defence Myopia: Lessons from the Iraq War [PDF format]- An article by Dennis M. Gormley for Survival.
Posted: December 24, 2003
Libya and Nonproliferation- On 19 December, Libya announced that it would halt its Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD)
programs and eliminate any stockpiles of weapons or materials under full verification by the international community.
Before examining Libya's intentions and analyzing its potential implications, it is essential to review Libya's capabilities in the WMD realm.
CNS Feature Story by Anjali Bhattacharjee and Sammy Salama.
Updated: April 9, 2003
Iraq Special Collection- Focuses on Iraq's weapons of mass destruction and UNSCOM.
Posted: April 8, 2003
North Korean Cruise Missile Tests--and Iraqi Cruise Missile Attacks--Raise Troubling Questions for Missile Defenses- "In the end, hedging against the cruise missile threat depends as much on developing more effective nonproliferation policies as it does on planning for more versatile missile defenses."
Feature Story by Dennis Gormley.
Top
NIS
Posted: June 1, 2007
Russia Tests a New Ground-Launched Cruise Missile and a New Strategic Missile on the Same Day- On May 29, 2007 Russia tested two new missiles, immediately igniting considerable controversy and speculation. The tests were advertised as a response to Eastern European missile defense but are they?
A CNS Feature Story by Nikolai Sokov.
Posted: November 9, 2005
The Future Shape of Russia's ICBM Force Clarified- The November 1, 2005 test of a road-mobile Topol-M ICBM with a
maneuverable warhead and new information released simultaneously shed
light on the land leg of the Russian strategic triad.
CNS Feature Story by Nikolai Sokov.
Posted: February 24
Military Exercises In Russia: Naval Deterrence Failures Compensated By Strategic Rocket Success- These exercises give a reasonably clear picture not only of what the Russian Armed Forces are now, but,
more importantly, what they are likely to become in the future.
CNS Feature Story by Nikolai Sokov.
Posted: September 19, 2003
Russian-Ukrainian Missile Cooperation- On July 25, 2003, the last of 30 sets of boosters for SS-19
ICBMs were delivered to Russia by an Ukrainian state export company.
Although not unprecedented, it may be a precursor to closer
cooperation between Russian and Ukrainian ballistic missile design and
production facilities.
Feature Story by Michael Jasinski.
Posted: February 26, 2003
Russia's Approach to the U.S. Missile Defense Program- Russia considered the ABM Treaty as the cornerstone of strategic stability and one of the most important strategic documents between
Moscow and Washington. U.S. withdrawal from the Treaty and the Bush administration's focus on the development of a nationwide missile
defense system is seen by some Russian political and military elites as a resuscitation of the Reagan-era Strategic Defense Initiative.
An issue brief by Victor Mizin for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).
Posted: May 14, 2002
"START III": An End Or Beginning of Negotiations- "During their meeting on May 23-25, Presidents George W. Bush and
Vladimir Putin will sign a new agreement on the reduction of strategic offensive
weapons, often referred to -- especially in the Russian press -- as
'START III.'"
Feature Story by Nikolai Sokov.
Posted: May 6, 2002
Bulgaria Reaffirms Plan to Destroy SS-23s- "During a late April visit to the United States to lobby for
Bulgaria's entry into NATO, Bulgarian Prime Minister Simeon
Saxe-Coburg-Gotha reaffirmed Bulgaria's commitment to destroy the
country's eight remaining operational SS-23 missiles."
Feature Story by Youliana Ivanova.
Posted: March 4, 2002
Greater Attention Pledged to Russian Triad's Naval Leg- Feature Story.
Posted: February 18, 2002
Russia to Lease Two Nuclear Submarines to India- Feature Story.
Top
East Asia
Posted: December 12, 2012
![View story [Image: Launch of the Unha-3 SLV (Src: Korean Central News Agency) ]](../stories/images/121212_north_korea_rocket_launch_300x300.jpg "View story [ Image: Launch of the Unha-3 SLV (Src: Korean Central News Agency) ]")
Feature Story
CNS Experts Available for Comment on North Korea's Rocket Launch- On December 12, DPRK successfully launched the Unha-3 SLV. CNS experts available for comment on implications of this launch.
Posted: April 10, 2012
![View story [ Image: Sohae Satellite Launching Station (Src: Google Maps) ]](../stories/images/120410_dprk_rocket_launch_faq_sohae_300x200.jpg)
FAQ: North Korea's Upcoming Space Launch
- CNS has compiled an FAQ to keep you informed as North Korea prepares for its upcoming rocket launch.
Posted: September 27, 2011
![View story [ Image: Joshua Pollack (left) and Dennis Gormley ]](../multimedia/images/110913_pollack_dprk_missiles.jpg)
Video
Tracking North Korea's Ballistic Missiles Sales: Implications for the Missile Technology Control Regime- Joshua Pollack, Senior Policy Analyst, Science Applications International Corporation;
with commentary by Dennis Gormley, Senior Lecturer, Graduate School of Public and International Affairs, University of Pittsburgh
Posted: November 2, 2010
![View story [Image: October 10, 2010 military parade]](../stories/images/101102ss_missiles_north_korea.jpg "View story [Image: October 10, 2010 military parade]")
Feature Story
Missiles, Maneuvers and Mysteries: Review of Recent Developments in North Korea- DPRK's leadership succession and nuclear activities have garnered attention recently. A new report examines recent DPRK actions, including the parading of new missiles systems.
Posted: April 27, 2009
![View story [Image: North Korean rocket launch. [Src: KCNA]]](../stories/images/090427ss_dprk_launch.jpg "View story [Image: North Korean rocket launch. [Src: KCNA]]")
The North Korean Rocket Launch: International Reactions and Implications- In reaction to the UNSC condemnation of its rocket launch, North Korea pulled out of the six-party talks. The current crisis will be a serious challenge to regional stability.
Posted: April 8, 2009
![View story [Image: North Korean propaganda poster]](../stories/images/070108ss.jpg "View story [Image: North Korean propaganda poster]")
North Korean Satellite Falls Short of Expectations- On April 5, North Korea carried out its planned launch of a satellite but the three-stage rocket used appears to have failed in the final stage.
A Feature Story by Dean Knox.
Posted: April 3, 2009
Japan's Response to the North Korean Satellite Launch- Japan has mobilizing its missile defense system for the first time in the country's history.
Posted: April 1, 2009
Launch of North Korean "Communications Satellite" Draws Near, Raising Concerns of Regional Instability- The DPRK's plans to launch a satellite on a modified long-range missile have had a significant impact on regional threat perceptions.
A Feature Story by Dean Knox.
Posted: January 21, 2009
Missile Defense in Japan- An article by Masako Toki for the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.
Posted: April 15, 2008
China's Ascendancy to a Space Power- An op-ed by Jing-dong Yuan for the China Brief.
Posted: May 10, 2007
Asian Approaches to Space Security- Despite a lack of consensus and differences in space programs, broad support exists in Asia to prevent further space weaponization and to enhance cooperation.
A CNS Feature Story by Erik R. Quam and James Clay Moltz.
Posted: March 7, 2007
CNS Forum: Experts Discuss China's ASAT Test- CNS held a panel discussion on February 2, 2007, that included three presentations by CNS researchers.
Posted: March 7, 2007
Examining China's Debate on Military Space Programs: Was the ASAT Test Really a Surprise?- an issue brief by Erik Quam for the Nuclear Threat Initiative, February 2007.
Posted: January 24, 2007
Space Arms Race: China's ASAT Test a Wake-up Call- On January 11, 2007, China successfully tested a direct ascent
anti-satellite (ASAT) weapon. Despite
Beijing's assurance that the test was not "aimed" at anyone,
China's use of an ASAT weapon to destroy a satellite raises a number of
questions about Beijing's intentions in space.
A CNS Feature Story.
Updated: October 10, 2006
North Korea Special Collection- North Korea Special Collection contains a new section on the nuclear crisis, material on the DPRK's nuclear and missile programs, a chronology of DPRK nuclear developments (1947-1999),
articles on the Agreed Framework, and a list of CNS experts on these issues.
Posted: October 4, 2006
South Korean Response to North Korean July Missile Exercise Includes Unveiling of New Cruise Missile- A report by Dan Pinkston for WMD Insights.
Posted: September 5, 2006
Clarification on Media Citations of "CNS Report on DPRK Missiles"Posted: July 14, 2006
Causes and Consequences of North Korea's Missile Tests- An audio interview with Leonard Spector on voanews.com.
Posted: July 12, 2006
Deadly silence- an op-ed by Daniel A. Pinkston for Salon.com.
Posted: July 5, 2006
As North Korea Prepares Launch of Long-Range Ballistic Missile, Split Widens Between U.S. and South Korea- an article by Daniel A. Pinkston for WMD Insights.
Posted: June 16, 2006
Will North Korea Launch a Long-range Missile? [PDF format]
An essay by Daniel A. Pinkston for the Nautilus Institute's Policy Forum Online. (http://www.nautilus.org/fora/index.html)
Posted: March 21, 2006
North Korean Ballistic Missile Capabilities [PDF format]- A new special report from CNS answers key questions about North Korea's ballistic missiles and presents estimates of their missile capabilities.
A CNS Feature Story.
Posted: October 6
China's Manned Space Program: Trajectory and Motivations- The countdown is ticking toward China's first manned space
mission, the Shenzhou 5, which is expected to be launched sometime
in October 2003. Whether or not the Shenzhou is an indication of Chinese
scientific achievement, it is definitely a sign of priorities in the Chinese
government.
Feature Story By Stephanie Lieggi and Leigh Aldrich.
Posted: Summer 2003
Domestic Politics and Stakeholders in the North Korean Missile Development Program [PDF format]- An article for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol. 10.2.
by Dan A. Pinkston.
Posted: May 30, 2003
What's Behind U.S. Nonproliferation Sanctions Against Norinco?- The Bush administration's decision to impose a ban on imports
from the China North Industries Group (Norinco)
and its subsidiaries for transfers of dual-use equipment to a company involved
in Iran's ballistic missile program marks a significant shift in the Bush
administration's nonproliferation policy.
Feature Story by Phillip Saunders and Stephanie Lieggi.
Posted: April 8, 2003
North Korean Cruise Missile Tests--and Iraqi Cruise Missile Attacks--Raise Troubling Questions for Missile Defenses- "In the end, hedging against the cruise missile threat depends as much on developing more effective nonproliferation policies as it does on planning for more versatile missile defenses."
Feature Story by Dennis Gormley.
Posted: March 26, 2003
U.S. Must Rethink North Korea Strategy- "The U.S. must now consider an alternative strategy before time runs out."
An op-ed by Jing-Dong Yuan for The Japan Times.<.dd>
Updated: March 18, 2003
Ballistic Missile Defense in Northeast Asia- This annotated chronology covers key events such as indigenous development,
missile testing, and BMD-related transfers to the region, as well as major policy statements
made by the governments involved. In addition, the chronology is prefaced by a brief updated
summary of key actors' positions and policies on BMD issues in the region. Includes Chinese translation.
Posted: Fall/Winter 2002
Second Tier Proliferation: The Case of Pakistan and North Korea [PDF format]- A report for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol. 9.3.
by Guarav Kampani
Updated: November 21, 2002
Chinese Export Controls and Jiang Zemin's Visit to the United States- Contains text of export control regulations covering missile and CBW technology, analyses by CNS experts, and Chinese statements on export controls. Includes Chinese translated selections.
Posted: October 28, 2002
When Did WMD Deals Between Pyongyang and Islamabad Begin?- According to press reports, the North Korean-Pakistani trade of missiles for highly enriched uranium
(HEU) technology occurred around 1997, which would coincide with Pyongyang's shipment of Nodong missiles to Pakistan.
Feature Story by Daniel A. Pinkston.
Posted: October 21, 2002
Collapse of the Agreed Framework?- A White House spokesman declared that North Korea is in "material breach"
of the Agreed Framework, and the agreement could now be null
and void. It is too early to tell whether the Agreed Framework
can be resuscitated because the willingness of both
parties to negotiate a new deal is uncertain.
Feature Story by Daniel A. Pinkston.
Posted: October 9, 2002
Taiwan's Response to China's Missile Building- This issue brief provides a systematic outline of Taiwan's potential military and political responses to a PRC missile attack.
An issue brief by Phillip C. Saunders and Lora Saalman for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).
Posted: September 10, 2002
Preliminary Analysis of Chinese Missile Technology Export Control List [PDF format]- This paper identifies differences and omissions between the MTCR Annex and the Chinese
Missile and Missile Technology Export Control List and makes a preliminary assessment of their
potential significance.
by Phillip C. Saunders
Posted: September 5, 2002
Missile Export Controls Significant Step for Beijing
- "China has issued long-awaited regulations on missile technology exports and a control list on
specific items - an important step in nonproliferation policy which should be applauded."
An op-ed by Jing-dong Yuan for the South China Morning Post.
Posted: September 3, 2002
Taiwan's Security Umbrella at Risk
- "The heightened tensions between
Taiwan and mainland China triggered by Taiwanese President Chen Shui-bian's
recent call for legislation that would allow a future referendum on the island's
independence once again raises the issue of how the United States could defend
the island."
An op-ed by Leonard S. Spector for The Asian Wall Street Journal.
Posted: July 22, 2002
China's Space Capabilities and the Strategic Logic of Anti-Satellite Weapons- In recent years, some U.S. politicians and
analysts have claimed that China's reported efforts to develop
anti-satellite (ASAT) weapons pose a direct threat to U.S. space assets (and
thus U.S. space dominance).
Feature Story by Phillip Saunders, Jing-dong Yuan, Stephanie Lieggi, and Angela Deters.
Posted: April 15, 2002
Space Weapons or Space Arms Control?- Feature Story by James Clay Moltz.
Top
South Asia
Posted: July 18, 2012
Outside Publications
Pakistan's Babur and Ra'ad Cruise Missiles: Strategic Implications for IndiaPosted: October 8, 2007
India and Pakistan Missile Race Surges On- an article by Sharad Joshi for WMD Insights.
Posted: April 3, 2007
Pakistan's Missile Tests Highlight Growing South Asia Nuclear Arms Race, Despite New Confidence Building Measures- an article by Sharad Joshi for WMD Insights.
Posted: July 21, 2006
U.S.-India Space Cooperation Reaches New Heights, Despite Lingering Proliferation Concerns- an article by Jennifer Kline for WMD Insights.
Posted: Fall/Winter 2002
Second Tier Proliferation: The Case of Pakistan and North Korea [PDF format]- A report for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol. 9.3.
by Guarav Kampani
Posted: February 18, 2002
Russia to Lease Two Nuclear Submarines to India- Feature Story.
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