Nuclear/Radiological [2004-2002]

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Books

Posted: November 11, 2004 Preventing Nuclear Meltdown: Managing Decentralization of Russia's Nuclear Complex Presents insights into both nuclear safety issues and post-Soviet intra-agency governance, as well as detailed case studies of critical nuclear regions: the Far East, the Urals, Siberia, and the Volga area. The volume also offers major new findings on the interface linking Russia's evolving center-periphery relations, its ailing nuclear facilities, and the role played by foreign assistance providers. By James Clay Moltz, Vladimir A. Orlov, and Adam N. Stulberg.

Posted: June 18, 2004 The Four Faces of Nuclear Terrorism Warns that substandard security at nuclear facilities in Europe, Central Asia, Russia, and Pakistan increases the risk of terrorists seizing highly enriched uranium to make crude, but devastating, nuclear explosives. By Charles D. Ferguson, William C. Potter, Amy Sands, Leonard S. Spector, and Fred L. Wehling.

General

Posted: August 15, 2003

2002 WMD Terrorism Chronology: Incidents Involving Sub-National Actors and Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear Materials [PDF format]

By Wayne Turnbull and Praveen Abhayaratne.
This chronology covers incidents worldwide involving criminal or ideological motivations, including hoaxes and pranks.

Posted: May 28, 2003

New Nuclear Weapons?

Will the United States produce newly designed nuclear weapons under the Bush Administration? Over the next couple of years, the answer will likely be "no." Recent activity, however, in Congress and the Administration has raised concern that the prospect of new U.S. nuclear weapons has increased.
A CNS Feature Story by Charles D. Ferguson and Peter D. Zimmerman.

Posted: May 27, 2003

Security Risks of Radioactive Material

Improving security arrangements for radioactive sources is an obvious step to take to reduce the risk of sources being diverted or used for malevolent purposes. Not so obvious is the issue of whether the new security measures are properly focused.
By Joel O. Lubenau with an introduction "Radioactive Source Security: Recent Developments" by Charles D. Ferguson.

Posted: May 14, 2003

U.S. Efforts to Halt WMD Proliferation: Past Experience, Current Programs, and Future Priorities

Testimony by Clay Moltz to the Subcommittees on Europe and on International Terrorism, Nonproliferation and Human Rights of the Committee on International Relations of the U.S. House of Representatives

Posted: May 7, 2003

2003 NPT Preparatory Committee: "Business as Usual?

The second session of the PrepCom thus far, similar to the first session, has progressed in a relatively smooth manner. Several issues have been highlighted, such as security assurances and non-strategic nuclear weapons, with working papers offering concrete and constructive proposals as food for thought. However, real progress and prospects for agreement remain questionable.
by Jean du Preez.

Posted: April 24, 2003

Security Assurances Against the Use or Threat of Use of Nuclear Weapons: Is Progress Possible at the NPT Prepcom?

The 2003 Preparatory Committee (PrepCom) meeting for the 2005 Review Conference of the states parties to the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) is meeting at the end of April amid renewed fears over the use of nuclear weapons.
by Jean du Preez.

Posted: April 22, 2003

Challenges Facing the Nuclear Nonproliferation Regime

Workshop hosted by the Center for Nonproliferation Studies, Monterey Institute of International Studies and Mountbatten Centre for International Studies, University of South Hampton.

Posted: April 22, 2003

The NPT and Its 2003 PrepCom Session: A Regime in Need of Intensive Care

by Tanya Ogilvie-White and John Simpson, from the upcoming issue of The Nonproliferation Review, Vol. 10, No. 1.

Posted: January 13, 2003

Study Details Steps To Reduce Dirty Bomb Threat

The interest of al Qaeda and other terrorist groups in radiological dispersal devices (RDDs) has caused policymakers to seek new measures to ensure these materials do not fall into the wrong hands.
Feature Story by Charles D. Ferguson.

Posted: September 18, 2002

2001 WMD Terrorism Chronology

This chronology covers incidents worldwide involving criminal or ideological motivations, including hoaxes and pranks.
By Adam Dolnik and Jason Pate.

Posted: August 28, 2002

"Dirty Bomb" Threat Awakens Dormant Disarmament Conference

"If an international institution's efficiency is partly determined by its ability to respond to external shocks and crises, the Jose Padilla controversy may help revive the Geneva-based Conference on Disarmament (CD)."
Feature Story by Daniil Kobyakov and Nicolas Florquin.

Updated: July 2002

Plutonium Disposition

The United States and Russia pledged to eliminate excess weapons-grade plutonium in order to prevent its theft or diversion for illegal nuclear programs and to prevent its reincorporation into their weapons programs. Plutonium is of the greatest concern because only 8 kilograms are needed to make a nuclear bomb. An issue brief by Elena Sokova for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).

Posted: June 11, 2002

The Real Sum of All Fears

An op-ed for the Los Angeles Times by William Potter and Leonard Spector.

Posted: April 8, 2002

Mini-Nuclear Weapons and the U.S. Nuclear Posture Review

Feature Story by Charles D. Ferguson.

Posted: April 2, 2002

From Haber to Heisenberg and Beyond: The Role of Scientists in the Acquisition of WMD

Washington D.C. Office 2002 Briefing Series, March 26, 2002.

Americas

Posted: March 13, 2004

Overcoming Impediments to U.S.-Russian Cooperation on Nuclear Non-Proliferation: Report of a Joint Workshop

A joint product of the U.S. National Academies (of which Dr. William Potter is a member) and the Russian Academy of Sciences.

Posted: October 27, 2003

Congressional Debate on Nuclear Weapons Policy: From the Nuclear Brink to the Slippery Slope

While this year's congressional debates touched on major issues affecting U.S. nuclear policy, members of Congress have yet to delve into a debate that really articulates what this policy should be. If such a debate occurred, it would probably not reach consensus.
Feature Story by Charles D. Ferguson.

Posted: May 28, 2003

New Nuclear Weapons?

Will the United States produce newly designed nuclear weapons under the Bush Administration? Over the next couple of years, the answer will likely be "no." Recent activity, however, in Congress and the Administration has raised concern that the prospect of new U.S. nuclear weapons has increased.
Feature Story by Charles D. Ferguson and Peter D. Zimmerman.

Posted: January 13, 2003

Study Details Steps To Reduce Dirty Bomb Threat

The interest of al Qaeda and other terrorist groups in radiological dispersal devices (RDDs) has caused policymakers to seek new measures to ensure these materials do not fall into the wrong hands.
Feature Story by Charles D. Ferguson.

Posted: September 16, 2002

Cuba's Accession to the NPT: A Step Toward Strengthening the Nuclear Nonproliferation Regime

On September 14, the Cuban Foreign Minister Felipe Perez Roque announced to the United Nations General Assembly that his government will accede to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) and will ratify the Treaty for the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons in Latin America and the Caribbean (Treaty of Tlatelolco).

Feature Story by Jean Du Preez.

Updated: July 2002

Plutonium Disposition

The United States and Russia pledged to eliminate excess weapons-grade plutonium in order to prevent its theft or diversion for illegal nuclear programs and to prevent its reincorporation into their weapons programs. Plutonium is of the greatest concern because only 8 kilograms are needed to make a nuclear bomb. An issue brief by Elena Sokova for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).

Posted: May 27, 2002

Renewed U.S. - Russian Controversy Over Nuclear Testing

The uncertainty over the nature of activities at the Novaya Zemlya nuclear test site in northern Russia has frequently been a factor in U.S. government decisions on stockpile stewardship and participation in international treaties. The lack of transparency at the two countries' test sites has contributed to mutual suspicions and calls by some parties in both countries for the resumption of testing.
Feature Story by Michael Jasinski, Cristina Chuen, and Charles Ferguson.

Posted: May 14, 2002

"START III": An End Or Beginning of Negotiations

"During their meeting on May 23-25, Presidents George W. Bush and Vladimir Putin will sign a new agreement on the reduction of strategic offensive weapons, often referred to -- especially in the Russian press -- as 'START III.'"
Feature Story by Nikolai Sokov.

Middle East/Africa

Posted: September 27, 2004

IAEA Board Gives Iran Yet Another Chance

Despite repeated, strenuous attempts, the United States could not convince the IAEA Board of Governors to establish an October 31 deadline to report Iran to the Security Council for violating its nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) obligations.
Feature Story by Jean du Preez and María Lorenzo Sobrado.

Posted: August 12, 2004

A Preemptive Attack on Iran's Nuclear Facilities: Possible Consequences

There are reports that the Bush administration has seriously considered an attack on Iran's nuclear facilities but opted to put it on the back burner for the time being.

A CNS Feature Story by Sammy Salama and Karen Ruster.

Posted: July 6, 2004

IAEA Board Deplores Iran's Failure to Come into Full Compliance: Is Patience with Iran Running Out?

On Friday, June 18, 2004, the Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) unanimously adopted a resolution reprimanding Iran for failing to act in full compliance with its international safeguards obligations.
An issue brief by Peter Crail and Jean du Preez for the Nuclear Threat Initiative.

Posted: December 24, 2003

Libya and Nonproliferation

On 19 December, Libya announced that it would halt its Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) programs and eliminate any stockpiles of weapons or materials under full verification by the international community. Before examining Libya's intentions and analyzing its potential implications, it is essential to review Libya's capabilities in the WMD realm.

Feature Story by Anjali Bhattacharjee and Sammy Salama.

Posted: December 1, 2003

Ambassador Ekéus Speaks at MIIS on Detecting WMD in Iraq

On November 14, 2003 in Irvine Auditorium, Ekéus, a former Swedish ambassador to the United States, also discussed the lessons that emerged from 12 years of international efforts to uncover Iraq's weapon programs.

Updated: December 1, 2003

IAEA's Resolution on Iran: A Troubling Past With a Hopeful Future?

The latest report by International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director-General Mohamed ElBaradei, on the implementation of the NPT safeguards agreement in the Islamic Republic of Iran, provides both troubling and reassuring details on Iran's nuclear program.
Now includes the IAEA Resolution.

Posted: June 26, 2003

Russia's Nuclear and Missile Technology Assistance to Iran

Russian assistance for the Iranian nuclear program has long been an irritant in the U.S.-Russian relations. The revelations concerning Iran's hitherto unknown uranium enrichment efforts, which propelled Iran's nuclear ambitions to the center of the world's attention, added a new dimension to the controversy.
By Michael Jasinski.

Posted: June 18, 2003

Iran Rebuked for Failing to Comply with IAEA Safeguards

The 35 member Board of Governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) on 18 June 2003 fell short of declaring Iran in violation of it obligations under the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and its IAEA safeguards agreement that stem from these obligations.
Feature Story by Jean du Preez and Lawrence Scheinman.

Posted: May 20, 2003

Iran's Secret Quest for the Bomb

"At the upcoming June meeting of the UN's International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Washington wants the agency to declare Iran in material breach of its non-proliferation obligations."
An op-ed by Leonard S. Spector for the YaleGlobal online.

Updated: April 9, 2003

Iraq Special Collection

Focuses on Iraq's weapons of mass destruction and UNSCOM.

Posted: March 27, 2003

Russian Nuclear Exports to Iran: U.S. Policy Change Needed

On March 29, the State Department is scheduled to report to Congress on nuclear proliferation prevention in Iran.[1] Part of the report is likely to focus on Russia's role in Iran's nuclear development.
Feature Story by Cristina Chuen.

Posted: December 31, 2002

Al-Qa`ida and Weapons of Mass Destruction

The world's media have reported no less than 56 separate incidents involving al-Qa`ida and WMD, 36 of which have come to light since September 2001.

NIS

Updated regularly

NIS Databases

The NIS databases contain an extensive collection of information on the nuclear industry and on nonproliferation issues in the Newly Independent States of the former Soviet Union.

Posted: June 8, 2004

The Global Partnership and Submarine Dismantlement

Dismantlement of nuclear-powered submarines in Russia is a priority for the G8's Global Partnership project. The following report outlines the current state of dismantlement efforts and recommendations.
Feature Story by Cristina Chuen.

Posted: March 13, 2004

Overcoming Impediments to U.S.-Russian Cooperation on Nuclear Non-Proliferation: Report of a Joint Workshop

A joint product of the U.S. National Academies (of which Dr. William Potter is a member) and the Russian Academy of Sciences.

Posted: February 13, 2004

"Suitcase Nukes:" Permanently Lost Luggage

Although the allegations of al-Qaeda buying nuclear weapons from Ukraine are apparently groundless, it still seems advisable to continue closely monitoring the situation surrounding portable nuclear devices.
Feature Story by Nikolai Sokov.

Posted: December 3, 2003

Russian Submarine Dismantlement Issues

Russia's decommissioned nuclear-powered submarines continue to present serious proliferation-related and environmental threats. Without foreign support it would take Russia many years to handle the problem.
Feature Story by Cristina Chuen.

Posted: October 10, 2003

Russian Ministry of Defense's New Policy Paper: The Nuclear Angle

In the end, the Ministry of Defense seems to believe that nothing but military power can guarantee Russia's security and interests, especially given the suspected propensity of the United States for unilateral, often not fully logical military escapades.
A report by Nikolai Sokov.

Posted: June 26, 2003

Russia's Nuclear and Missile Technology Assistance to Iran

Russian assistance for the Iranian nuclear program has long been an irritant in the U.S.-Russian relations. The revelations concerning Iran's hitherto unknown uranium enrichment efforts, which propelled Iran's nuclear ambitions to the center of the world's attention, added a new dimension to the controversy.
By Michael Jasinski.

Posted: June 5, 2003

The Multilateral Nuclear Environmental Program in the Russian Federation (MNEPR)

After four years of negotiations, the Multilateral Nuclear Environmental Program in the Russian Federation (MNEPR) Framework Agreement was signed in Stockholm on May 21, 2003.
Report by Egil Tronstad and Cristina Chuen.

Posted: May 16, 2003

The Duma Ratifies the Moscow Treaty

On May 14, 2003 the State Duma, the lower house of the Federal Assembly (the Russian parliament), ratified the Strategic Offensive Reductions Treaty (also known as SORT or the Moscow Treaty) by 294 votes against 134 with 22 abstaining.
Report by Nikolai Sokov.

Posted: May 14, 2003

U.S. Efforts to Halt WMD Proliferation: Past Experience, Current Programs, and Future Priorities

Testimony by Clay Moltz
Subcommittees on Europe and on International Terrorism, Nonproliferation and Human Rights of the Committee on International Relations of the U.S. House of Representatives

Posted: April 21, 2003

Little-Known Commercial Enterprise Poised to Take Over Russian Plutonium Disposition

Securing funds for plutonium disposition was a challenge for Russia from the beginning.
Feature Story by Dauren Aben.

Posted: March 27, 2003

Russian Nuclear Exports to Iran: U.S. Policy Change Needed

On March 29, the State Department is scheduled to report to Congress on nuclear proliferation prevention in Iran.[1] Part of the report is likely to focus on Russia's role in Iran's nuclear development.
Feature Story by Cristina Chuen.

Posted: February 26, 2003

Russian Spent Nuclear Fuel

The Russian Ministry of Atomic Energy plans to commercially import, temporarily store, reprocess, and repatriate spent nuclear fuel (material that has been withdrawn from a nuclear reactor following irradiation, or SNF). Illegal until July 2001, opponents continue to protest against the project, and fight to amend Russian laws yet again.
An issue brief by Cristina Chuen for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).

Posted: January 24, 2003

Russian Responses to the North Korean Crisis

Russian responses to the crisis in North Korea (DPRK) have ranged from strong concern about proliferation of nuclear weapons to sympathy for the North Korean viewpoint.

Posted: September 30, 2002

Central Asian States Achieve Breakthrough on Nuclear Weapon-Free Zone Treaty

"In a major step strengthening the global nuclear nonproliferation regime, diplomats from Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan have agreed on the text of a treaty establishing a Central Asian nuclear weapon-free zone (CANWFZ)."
Feature Story by Scott Parrish.

Posted: September 23, 2002

"Suitcase Nukes": A Reassessment

Attention to portable nuclear devices ("suitcase nukes") peaked in 1997-early 1998 following well-publicized allegations that an unknown number of these weapons could not be accounted for. This paper assesses the threat that a number of them could have fallen into the hands of terrorists or states that support them.
Feature Story.

Posted: September 9, 2002

John Wolf Interview: Details on G-8 Global Partnership Against the Spread of WMD

On August 28, Assistant Secretary of State for Nonproliferation John Wolf spoke with CNS, regarding the agreement reached at the June 26-27 Kananaskis G-8 Summit to launch a Global Partnership against the Spread of Weapons and Materials of Mass Destruction.
Feature Story by Leonard Spector.

Posted: July 19, 2002

Ghost of Russia's K-19 Haunts Us

The K-19 is still with us, one of 190 decommissioned Soviet nuclear-powered submarines rusting at their piers. As many as 100 of them still have nuclear fuel on board, risking a reactor incident or diversion of material for a terrorist radiation weapon or "dirty bomb."
An op-ed by Cristina Chuen for the Los Angeles Times.

Updated: July 2002

Plutonium Disposition

The United States and Russia pledged to eliminate excess weapons-grade plutonium in order to prevent its theft or diversion for illegal nuclear programs and to prevent its reincorporation into their weapons programs. Plutonium is of the greatest concern because only 8 kilograms are needed to make a nuclear bomb. An issue brief by Elena Sokova for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).

Posted: June 26, 2002

Russian Floating Nuclear Reactors - Proliferation Risks

For the past 10 years, high-ranking officials from Russia's Ministry of Atomic Energy (Minatom) and Rosenergoatom have been expressing unequivocal support for construction of floating nuclear power plants in remote areas of the Russian Far North and East. Construction of Russia's first floating nuclear power plants is moving ahead.
Feature Story by Eduard Fesko.

Posted: June 14, 2002

Challenges in U.S.-Russian Cooperation

Paper by William C. Potter presented at the Conference on Cooperative Threat Reduction in the 21st Century, Oslo, Norway (June 1, 2002)

Posted: June 10, 2002

Russian Exports of Sensitive Equipment and Technology

Testimony by Leonard S. Spector before the Senate Governmental Affairs Committee, Subcommittee on International Security, Proliferation, and Federal Services

Posted: May 27, 2002

Renewed U.S. - Russian Controversy Over Nuclear Testing

The uncertainty over the nature of activities at the Novaya Zemlya nuclear test site in northern Russia has frequently been a factor in U.S. government decisions on stockpile stewardship and participation in international treaties. The lack of transparency at the two countries' test sites has contributed to mutual suspicions and calls by some parties in both countries for the resumption of testing.
Feature Story by Michael Jasinski, Cristina Chuen, and Charles Ferguson.

Posted: May 14, 2002

"START III": An End Or Beginning of Negotiations

"During their meeting on May 23-25, Presidents George W. Bush and Vladimir Putin will sign a new agreement on the reduction of strategic offensive weapons, often referred to -- especially in the Russian press -- as 'START III.'"
Feature Story by Nikolai Sokov.

Posted: May 1, 2002

Yadernoe Nerasprostranenie (Nuclear Nonproliferation)

A college-level Russian-language textbook, edited by Vladimir Orlov and CNS Senior Research Associate Nikolai Sokov, published 2000.

Posted: April 16, 2002

Workshop on Russian Nuclear Regionalism and U.S. Policy

On April 5, 2002, the Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS) at the Monterey Institute of International Studies held a workshop in Washington, D.C., on the topic of "Russian 'Nuclear Regionalism' and Challenges for U.S. Nonproliferation Assistance Programs."

Posted: March 25, 2002

Russian Military Violating Nuclear Safety and Inventory Rules by Shipping Damaged Fuel

Feature Story.

Posted: March 4, 2002

Greater Attention Pledged to Russian Triad's Naval Leg

Feature Story.

Posted: March 2002

Illicit Nuclear Trafficking in the NIS

The events of September 11, 2001 have intensified concern that terrorist groups will attempt to steal weapons-useable nuclear material in order to build a nuclear weapon. Although stocks of these materialsplutonium and highly-enriched uranium (HEU)exist in many countries around the world, the largest inventory in the world is held in the Newly Independent States of the former Soviet Union (NIS). Owing to economic and political turmoil, this material is vulnerable to theft. An issue brief by Scott Parrish for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).

Posted: February 18, 2002

Russia to Lease Two Nuclear Submarines to India

Feature Story.

East Asia

Posted: November 9, 2004

South Korea's Nuclear Experiments

South Korea's experiments do not indicate a present and dedicated effort to develop nuclear weapons, but could have broad implications given South Korea's past nuclear weapons development program and the ongoing efforts to thwart North Korea's nuclear ambitions.
Feature Story by Dan A. Pinkston.

Posted: February 26, 2003

Bargaining Failure and the North Korean Nuclear Program's Impact on International Nonproliferation Regimes (PDF format]

An article by Dan A. Pinkston for the December issue of the KNDU Review.

Posted: December 12, 2003

Controversy in Germany: Siemens Sale of MOX Plant to China

German Chancellor Gerhard Schröder held discussions with Chinese government and business leaders about the proposed sale of a mothballed German mixed oxide (MOX) fuel fabrication plant to a Chinese nuclear company.
Feature Story by Stephanie Lieggi.

Posted: August 25, 2003

What to Expect from the Six-Party Talks on the Korean Nuclear Crisis

On August 27-29, 2003, diplomats from the U.S., North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Russia, and China will meet in Beijing for talks about the nuclear crisis on the Korean Peninsula.
Feature Story by Phillip Saunders.

Posted: July 17, 2003

Radioactive Cesium Seizure in Thailand: Riddled with Uncertainties

An eight-month old U.S.Thailand coordinated endeavor culminated on June 13, 2003 with the arrest of an individual in possession of radioactive cesium-137 a substance that could fuel a radiological dispersal device (RDD) one type of which is more commonly known as a "dirty bomb."
Feature Story by Alessandro Andreoni and Charles D. Ferguson.

Posted: May 5, 2003

Russian Policy on the North Korean Nuclear Crisis

Russia is highly concerned about the recent turn of events on the Korean Peninsula and what it perceives as the U.S. escalation of tensions over North Korea's nuclear and missile programs.
A report by Clay Moltz.

Posted: April 28, 2003

South Korean Electoral Politics and Seoul's Position on the North Korean Nuclear Crisis

If reports from the Beijing talks that North Korea possesses nuclear weapons are accurate, effective U.S. policy will require close coordination with South Korea and other countries.
Feature Story by Daniel A. Pinkston.

Posted: April 18, 2003

Factsheet on North Korean Nuclear Reprocessing Statement

The statement was the first official comment by the DPRK about the upcoming trilateral meetings between the United States, North Korea and China that are scheduled to be held in Beijing the week of April 20th.

Posted: April 9, 2003

North Korea's Withdrawal From the NPT: A Reality Check

North Korea's withdrawal could trigger further defections from the treaty and cause other states in the region to pursue nuclear weapons of their own. Of equal concern is the potential for North Korea to sell weapons grade fissile material or nuclear weapons themselves to other states and non-state actors, including terrorist groups.
Feature Story by Jean Du Preez and William Potter.

Posted: March 26, 2003

U.S. Must Rethink North Korea Strategy

"The U.S. must now consider an alternative strategy before time runs out."
An op-ed by Jing-Dong Yuan for The Japan Times.

Posted: March 18, 2003

N. Korea Talks Are Imperative

"The United States must anticipate intensified North Korean nuclear and missile brinkmanship once the fighting begins in Iraq. Starting negotiations now could prevent North Korean nuclear escalation and avoid the risk of fighting wars on two fronts."
An op-ed by William C. Potter and Phillip C. Saunders for the San Jose Mercury News.

Posted: March 12, 2003

Choices Are Narrowing to Meet the DPRK Nuclear Threat

"As North Korea accelerates its efforts to build new nuclear weapons, options for averting a tragic outcome are disappearing one by one."
An op-ed by Leonard S. Spector for the Chosun Ilbo.

Posted: March 4, 2003

Confronting Ambiguity: How to Handle North Korea's Nuclear Program

"There are growing divisions over how to deal with North Korea's nuclear weapons program."
An article by Phillip C. Saunders for Arms Control Today.

Posted: January 27, 2003

Military Options for Dealing with North Korea's Nuclear Program

This report explores some of the tactical issues that would be involved in military strikes against North Korean nuclear facilities and explains why an anonymous senior Bush administration official concluded that although the United States has military options, "we don't have good ones."

Posted: January 24, 2003

Russian Responses to the North Korean Crisis

Russian responses to the crisis in North Korea (DPRK) have ranged from strong concern about proliferation of nuclear weapons to sympathy for the North Korean viewpoint.

Posted: January 22, 2003

China and the North Korean Nuclear Crisis

China has increasingly become a hub of diplomatic activities as the international community seeks a way to defuse the nuclear crisis. How China views the situation and responds to the crisis not only has an important impact on the resolution of the current nuclear impasse, but also reflects Beijing's fundamental interests in the future evolution of the peninsula's peace and stability.

Updated: February 12, 2003

North Korea's Nuclear Program: Key Concerns

It is clear that the North Korean program has advanced to a stage where the possession of a small nuclear arsenal is within reach.

Posted: January 14, 2003

Assessing North Korea's Nuclear Intentions

North Korean leaders have strong incentives to conceal their true intentions in order to maximize their bargaining power and to minimize international reactions to their nuclear weapons program.

Posted: January 14, 2003

U.S. Fails to Heed N. Korea Advice

"The Bush administration would be wise to consult a prescient 1999 study that critiqued the Clinton administration's approach toward Pyongyang. It's a study Richard Armitage and Paul Wolfowitz seem to have forgotten -- even though they were among its principal authors."
An op-ed by William C. Potter for the San Jose Mercury News.

Posted: January 14, 2003

North Korea Pushed into Nuclear Standoff

"Pyongyang's nuclear weapons programme and its development of ballistic missiles have been driven largely by its acute sense of vulnerability in what it perceives to be a deteriorating security environment since the end of the Cold War."
An op-ed by Yuan Jing-Dong for the South China Morning Post.

Posted: January 10, 2003

CNS Experts Respond to the DPRK's Withdrawal from the NPT

On January 10th, the DPRK issued a statement that it would be withdrawing from the NPT.

Posted: January 10, 2003

Text of North Korea's Statement on NPT Withdrawal

On January 10th, the DPRK issued a statement that it would be withdrawing from the NPT.

Posted: Fall/Winter 2002

Second Tier Proliferation: The Case of Pakistan and North Korea [PDF Format]

A report for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol. 9.3.
by Guarav Kampani

Posted: December 16, 2002

North Korea Lifts the Freeze on Its Nuclear Program

The DPRK announced that it would lift the freeze on its nuclear facilities to generate electricity, raising several questions regarding the current status of its nuclear facilities and the timelines for any diversion of nuclear materials to bomb fabrication.
Feature Story by Daniel A. Pinkston.

Posted: October 30, 2002

North Korean Motivations for Developing Nuclear Weapons [PDF format]

"We must analyze the North Koreans' threat perceptions over the past half century to clearly understand their motivations for acquiring the bomb."

Posted: October 30, 2002

Nuclear Inspections and Brinksmanship

"The United States and its allies in East Asia are struggling to develop a strategy to address the growing threat posed by North Korea's nuclear weapons program."
An op-ed by Leonard S. Spector for the Chosun Ilbo, October 30, 2002.

Posted: October 28, 2002

When Did WMD Deals Between Pyongyang and Islamabad Begin?

According to press reports, the North Korean-Pakistani trade of missiles for highly enriched uranium (HEU) technology occurred around 1997, which would coincide with Pyongyang's shipment of Nodong missiles to Pakistan.
Feature Story by Daniel A. Pinkston.

Posted: October 21, 2002

Collapse of the Agreed Framework?

A White House spokesman declared that North Korea is in "material breach" of the Agreed Framework, and the agreement could now be null and void. It is too early to tell whether the Agreed Framework can be resuscitated because the willingness of both parties to negotiate a new deal is uncertain.
Feature Story by Daniel A. Pinkston.

Posted: April 1, 2002

The U.S. Nuclear Posture Review and China's Responses

"The Chinese government accused the United States of "nuclear blackmail" and vowed not to bow to foreign nuclear threats."
Feature Story.

Posted: February 26, 2002

The Status of North Korea's Nuclear Inspections

Feature Story.

South Asia

Posted: February 23, 2004

Proliferation Unbound: Nuclear Tales from Pakistan

After years of blanket denials, Pakistan's government has finally admitted that during 1989-2003 Pakistani nuclear scientists and entities proliferated nuclear weapons-related technologies, equipment, and know how to Iran, North Korea, and Libya.
Feature Story by Gaurav Kampani.

Posted: January 15, 2003

Nuclear Watch-Pakistan: The Sorry Affairs of the Islamic Republic

An issue brief by Gaurav Kampani for the Nuclear Threat Initiative (NTI).

Posted: Fall/Winter 2002

Second Tier Proliferation: The Case of Pakistan and North Korea [PDF Format]

A report for the Nonproliferation Review, CNS, Vol. 9.3.
by Guarav Kampani

Posted: June 10, 2002

India's Compellance Strategy: Calling Pakistan's Nuclear Bluff Over Kashmir

"Islamabad's apparent decision to accept war termination in Kashmir on New Delhi's terms essentially implies that India may have finally called Pakistan's nuclear bluff over Kashmir."
Feature Story by Gaurav Kampani.

Posted: April 8, 2002

Placing the Indo-Pakistani Standoff in Perspective [PDF format]

by Gaurav Kampani

Posted: February 18, 2002

Russia to Lease Two Nuclear Submarines to India

Feature Story.

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