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Threat Assessment Links

Jump to: Congressional Testimony | Intelligence | Department of Defense | Department of State | FBI/DoJ | Non-Governmental Sources | Charts & Statistics

Congressional Testimony

• Combating Terrorism: Assessing Threats, Managing Risks, and Establishing Priorities,
  Hearing before the House Subcommittee on National Security, Veterans' Affairs and International Relations
  July 26, 2000
  • Statement by Norman Rabkin, Director, National Security and International Affairs Division, Government Accounting Office
  • Statement by Raphael F. Perl, Specialist in International Affairs, Congressional Research Service
  • Statement by Michael A. Wermuth, Senior Policy Analyst, Rand
  • Statement by John V. Parachini, former Executive Director, Monterey Institute of International Studies

• Terrorist Threats to the United States,
  Hearing before the Special Oversight Panel on Terrorism, House Armed Services Committee
  May 23, 2000
  • Statement by Dr. Kenneth Alibek, Chief Scientist, Hadron, Inc. and Former First Deputy Chief, Biopreparat (USSR)
  • Statement by Mr. Bron Cikotas, Former EMP Division Chief, Defense Nuclear Agency
  • Statement by Dr. Dorothy E. Denning, Professor of Computer Science, Georgetown University

• Judiciary to Examine Terrorist Threats to U.S.: Canadian Border Security,
  Hearing before the House Subcommittee on Immigration and Claims, Committee on the Judiciary
  January 25, 2000
  • Statement by Ambassador Philip C. Wilcox, U.S. Department of State (retired)
  • Statement by Ambassador Martin Collacott, Canadian Department of External Affairs (retired)
  • Statement by Steven Emerson Terrorism Newswire
  • Statement by Christopher Sands, Fellow and Director, Canada Project, Center for Strategic and International Studies
  • Statement by Gary Stubblefield, President, Global Options LLC
  • Statement by John Thompson, Director, The Mackenzie Institute, Toronto
  • Statement by David Harris, Canadian Security Intelligence Service (retired)

• The Agricultural Biological Weapons Threat to the United States,
  Hearing before the Senate Subcommittee on Emerging Threats and Capabilities, Committee on Armed Services
  October 27, 1999
  • Statement by Robert Newberry, Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Combating Terrorism Policy and Support
  • Statement by Floyd P. Horn, Administrator, Agricultural Research Service, Department of Agriculture

• Combating Terrorism: Assessing the Threat,
  Hearing before the House Subcommittee on National Security, Veterans Affairs, and International Relations, Committee on Government Reform
  October 20, 1999
  • Statement by Chairman Christopher Shays
  • Statement by John V. Parachini, former Senior Associate, Monterey Instititue of International Studies
  • Statement by Raymond Zilinskas, Senior Scientist in Residence, Monterey Institute of International Studies
  • Statement by Brian Jenkins, RAND Corporation
  • Statement by Henry L. Hinton, Jr., Assistant Comptroller General, National Security and International Affairs Division, General Accounting Office

• The Threat of Bioterrorism in America: Assessing the Adequacy of the Federal Law Relating to Dangerous Biological Agents
  Hearing before the House Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations of the Committee on Commerce
  May 20, 1999

• Emerging National Security Threats
  Hearing before the Senate Subcommittee on Emerging Threats and Capabilities, Committee on Armed Services
  March 23, 1999
  • Statement by Honorable Richard G. Lugar,United States Senator, Indiana
  • Statement by Ambassador Robert Joseph, Director, Counterproliferation Center, National Defense University
  • Statement by Honorable Edward L. Warner III, Assistant Secretary of Defense for Strategy and Threat Reduction
  • Statement by Rose E. Gottemoeller, Director, Office of Nonproliferation and National Security, Department of Energy

• The Threat to the United States Posed by Terrorists
  Hearing before the Senate Subcommittee for the Departments of Commerce, Justice, and State, the Judiciary, and Related Agencies, Committee on Appropriations
  February 4, 1999
  • Statement by Janet Reno, Attorney General of the United States
  • Statement by Louis J. Freeh, FBI Director

• Biological Weapons: The Threat Posed by Terrorists
  Joint Hearing Before the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence and the Senate Judiciary Subcommittee on Technology, Terrorism and Government Information
  March 4, 1998
  • Posture Statement of Colonel David Franz,Deputy Director, U.S. Army Medical Research and Material Command, "International Biological Warfare Threat in CONUS"
  • Testimony of W. Seth Carus, Visiting Defense Fellow, Center for Counterproliferation Research, National Defense University
  • Testimony of Stephen M. Ostroff, Assoc. Director for Epidemiologic Science, National Center for Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

• Foreign Terrorists in America: Five Years After the World Trade Center
  Hearing before the Senate Judiciary Subcommittee on Technology, Terrorism, and Government Information
  February 24, 1998
  • Statement by J. Gilmore Childers Orrick, Herrington & Sutcliffe LLP
  • Statement by Henry J. DePippo Nixon Hargrave Devans & Doyle
  • Statement by Dale Watson, Chief, International Terrorism Section, National Security Division, FBI

• The Threat from International Organized Crime and Global Terrorism
  Hearing before the House Committee on International Relations
  October 1, 1997
  • Statement of Louis J. Freeh, Director, FBI
  • Statement of Giovanni De Gennaro, Deputy Director, Italian National Police
  • Statement of Arnaud De Borchgrave, Center for Strategic and International Studies

• The Threat to the United States from Emerging Infectious Diseases
  Hearing Before the House Committee on International Relations
  July 30, 1997
  • Statement of Major David Hernandez, Aeromedical Isolation Team, U.S. Army
  • Statement of David Heymann, Director, Division Of Emerging and Other Communicable Diseases, World Health Organization; and Dr. Stephen Corber, Director, Pan American Health Organization, Division of Disease Prevention and Control
  • Statement of Sally Shelton-Colby, Assistant Administrator for Global Programs, U.S. Agency for International Development

Intelligence

• Statement by Director of Central Intelligence George J. Tenet
  Before the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence on the "Worldwide Threat 2001: National Security in a Changing World" (as prepared for delivery) 07 February 2001

• Remarks As Prepared for Delivery by the Director of Central Intelligence George J. Tenet
  At the Town Hall of Los Angeles, December 7, 2000

• "Intelligence Challenges Through 2015"
  Remarks by John C. Gannon, Chairman, National Intelligence Council, to the Columbus Council on World Affairs
  April 27, 2000

• The Worldwide Threat in 2000: Global Realities of Our National Security
  Statement by George J. Tenet, Director of Central Intelligence
  Hearing before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee
  March 21, 2000

• The Worldwide Threat in 2000
  Hearing before the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence
  February 2, 2000
  • Statement by George J. Tenet, Director of Central Intelligence

• The Worldwide Threat in 2000: Global Realities of our National Security
  Hearing before the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence
  February 2, 2000
  • Statement by George J. Tenet, Director of Central Intelligence.
  • Statement by Vice Admiral Thomas R. Wilson, Director, Defense Intelligence Agency

• "At DIA, Excess Is In the Details"
  William M. Arkin, Washington Post, December 6, 1999

• Current and Projected National Security Threats
  Hearing before the Senate Armed Services Committee
  February 2, 1999
  • Statement by George J. Tenet, Director of Central Intelligence
  • Statement for the Record by Lt. Gen. Patrick M. Hughes, Director, Defense Intelligence Agency

• Current and Projected National Security Threats
  Hearing before the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence
  January 28, 1998
  • Statement by George J. Tenet, Director of Central Intelligence

• The Worldwide Threat to U.S. Interests
  Prepared statement of Lt. Gen. James R. Clapper Jr., D.I.A. Director, to the Senate Armed Services Committee, January 17, 1995

Department of Defense

• "Security in a Grave New World"
  Remarks as delivered by Secretary of Defense William S. Cohen to the Council on Foreign Relations, New York
  September 14, 1998
• "We Are Ready to Act Again"
  Secretary of Defense William S. Cohen
  Washington Post
  August 23, 1998
• "WMD Poses Top-Priority Threat to America"
  Remarks as delivered by Secretary of Defense William S. Cohen to the National Press Club, Washington, DC
  March 17, 1998
• Transforming Defense: National Security in the 21st Century
  and Report Overview, Report of the National Defense Panel, December 1997
• "Terrorism Expert Sounds Battle Cry"
  Douglas J. Gillert, American Forces Press Service, September 12, 1997
• Proliferation: Threat and Response, 1997
  Office of the Secretary of Defense
• "Dealing With Terrorism Before, Not After an Attack"
  Linda D. Kozaryn, American Forces Press Service, October 31, 1996
• Proliferation: Threat and Response, 1996
  Office of the Secretary of Defense

Department of State

• Patterns of Global Terrorism, Office of the Counterterrorism Coordinator
  1999, 1998, 1997, 1996, 1995

• Significant Incidents of Political Violence Against Americans, Bureau of Diplomatic Security, Office of Intelligence and Threat Analysis
  1996, 1995

Federal Bureau of Investigation / Department of Justice

• Terrorism in the United States, Federal Bureau of Investigation, Terrorist Research and Analytical Center, National Security Division.
  1998, 1997, 1996

• Designation of the Attorney General as the Lead Official for the Emergency Response Assistance Program
  Office of the Press Secretary, The White House, April 7, 2000

• Project Megiddo, An FBI Strategic Assessment of the Potential For Domestic Terrorism During the Millennium, 1999

• Potential Effects of Electronic Dissemination of Chemical "Worst Case Scenarios" Data
  Hearing before the House Subcommittee on Health and Environment
  June 9, 1999
  • Statement for the record by Robert M. Burnham, Chief, Domestic Terrorism Section, FBI

• Preparedness for Terrorism Response
  Hearing before the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee, Subcommittee on Oversight, Investigations, and Emergency Management
  June 9, 1999
  • Statement for the record by Barbara Y. Martinez, Deputy Director, National Domestic Preparedness Office, FBI

• The Threat of Bioterrorism in America
  Hearing before the House Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations
  May 20, 1999
  • Statement for the Record of Robert M. Burnham, Chief, Domestic Terrorism Section, FBI

• Threatened Use and Possession of Biological Agents
  Hearing before the House Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations
  May 19, 1999
  • Statement for the record by Robert M. Burnham,Chief, Domestic Terrorism Section, FBI

• Threats to U.S. National Security
  Hearing before the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence
  January 28, 1998
  • Statement for the record by Louis J. Freeh, Director, Federal Bureau of Investigation

Non-Governmental

• Toward a National Strategy for Combating Terrorism Capabilities for Terrorism
  Second Annual Report of the Advisory Panel to Assess Domestic Response Capabilities for Terrorism Involving Weapons of Mass Destruction (The Gilmore Commission), December 15, 2000
• Defending America in the 21st Century: New Challenges, New Organizations, and New Policies
  Executive Summary of four CSIS Working Group Reports on Frank Cilluffo, Joseph J. Collins, Arnaud de Borchgrave,Daniel Gouré, and Michael Horowitz, Center for Strategic and International Studies, December 2000
• U.S. Domestic Preparedness and the Complex Threat of Bioterrorism
  Richard A. Falkenrath, presentation to the Second National Symposium on Medical and Public Health Response to Bioterrorism: Public Health Emergency & National Security Threat, Washington, DC, November 28-29, 2000
• The Invisible Enemy: Has the Threat of Bioterrorism Been Overstated?
  The Economist, November 16, 2000
• The Phantom Menace
  Robert Dreyfuss, Mother Jones, September/October 2000
• Homeland Defense: Assumptions First, Strategy Second
  Randall J. Larsen and Ruth A. David, The Journal of Homeland Defense, Fall 2000
• An Assessment of the Biological Weapons Threat to the United States
  Milton Leitenberg, White Paper prepared for the Conference on Emerging Threats, at the Institute for Security Technology Studies, Dartmouth College, July 7-9, 2000
• Homeland Defense: Analyzing the Threat Posed by Chemical, Biological, Radiological, and Nuclear Attack
  Anthony H. Cordesman, Center for Strategic and International Studies
  (Draft for Comment) July 7, 2000
• Countering the Changing Threat of International Terrorism
  Report of the National Commission on Terrorism, June 2000
• Biological Weapons Proliferation
  Canadian Security Intelligence Service, Report # 2000/05, June 9, 2000
• Global Threat
  Interview with L. Paul Bremer, National Commission on Terrorism, and Larry Johnson, Jim Lehrer News Hour, June 6, 2000
• Change And Continuity In Terrorism
  Bruce Hoffman, Address delivered at the "Terrorism and Beyond: The 21st Century," conference co-sponsored by the Oklahoma City National Memorial Institute for the Prevention of Terrorism and The RAND Corporation, April 17, 2000
• Seeking A National Strategy: A Concert for Preserving Security and Promoting Freedom
  United States Commission on National Security/21st Century (Hart-Rudman Commission), April 15, 2000
• Trends in Terrorism
  Canadian Security Intelligence Service, Report #2000/01, December 18, 1999
• Chemical, Biological, Radiological and Nuclear (CBRN) Terrorism
  Canadian Security Intelligence Service, Report #2000/02, December 18, 1999
• Assessing the Threat
  First Annual Report to the President and Congress of the Advisory Panel to Assess Domestic Response Capabilities for Terrorism Involving Weapons of Mass Destruction (The Gilmore Commission), December 15, 1999
• New World Coming: American Security in the 21st Century - Major Themes and Implications and Supporting Research and Analysis
  United States Commission on National Security/21st Century (Hart-Rudman Commission), September 15, 1999
• An Unlikely Threat
  Johnathan Tucker and Amy Sands, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, Vol. 55, No.4, July/August 1999
• Historical Trends Related to Bioterrorism: An Empirical Analysis
  Johnathan Tucker, Emerging Infectious Diseases, Vol. 5, No. 4, July/August 1999
• The Prospect of Domestic Bioterrorism
  Jessica Stern, Emerging Infectious Diseases, Vol. 5, No. 4, July/August 1999
• The Threat of Biological Attack: Why Concern Now?
  David W. Siegrist, Emerging Infectious Diseases, Vol. 5, No. 4, July/August 1999
• Potential Biological Weapons Threats
  Mark G. Kortepeter and Gerald W. Parker, Emerging Infectious Diseases, Vol. 5, No. 4, July/August 1999
• Anthrax hoaxes: hot new hobby?
  Leonard A. Cole, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, Vol. 55, No. 4, July/August 1999
• The "New Terrorism": Does it Exist? How Real Are the Risks of Mass Casualty Attacks?
  Chemical and Biological Arms Control Institute and the Center for Global Security Research, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratories, Report of Proceedings, April 29-30, 1999
• Right Wing Terrorism and Weapons of Mass Destruction: Motives, Strategies and Movements
  Paul de Armond, Public Good Project, 1999
• Countering the New Terrorism
  Ian O. Lesser, Bruce Hoffman, John Arquilla, David Ronfeldt, Michele Zanini and Brian Jenkins, RAND, #MR-989-AF, 1999
• America's Vulnerability to Terrorism: Hype or Siege?
  John Parachini, Intellectual Capital.Com, December 10, 1998
• The Great Superterrorism Scare
  Ehud Sprinzak, Foreign Policy, Fall 1998
• Bioterrorism as a Public Health Threat
  Joseph E. Dade and David Franz, Emerging Infectious Diseases, Vol. 4, No. 3, July/September 1998
• Bioarmageddon
  Debora MacKenzie, New Scientist, September 19, 1998
• Coming soon to a city near you
  The Economist, August 15, 1998
• Terrorism's New Breed
  Jose Vegar, Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, Vol. 54, No. 2, March/April 1998.
• Biological Weapons: Defense Improves but the Threat Remains
  Zachary Selden, Business Executives for National Security, December 1997
• Assessing the Biological Weapons Threat
  Zachary Selden, Business Executives for National Security, February 1997
• The Specter of Biological Weapons
  Leonard A. Cole, Scientific American, December 1996

Charts & Statistics

• Attack Map and Database, Washington Post
• Anti-US Mass Casualty Incidents, 1983-1998, U.S. Deptartment of State
• FBI Convictions, 1998, Transactional Records Access Clearinghouse, Syracuse University
• 1997 Bombing Incidents, FBI Bomb Data Center Report
• Attacks Against U.S. Diplomatic Installations, 1987-1997, U.S. Department of State
• International Incidents 1971-1997, Directorate of Central Intelligence, Counterterrorist Center
• Total Casualties Worldwide, 1987-97, Directorate of Central Intelligence, Counterterrorist Center
• US Casualties, 1987-97, Directorate of Central Intelligence, Counterterrorist Center
• Anti-US Attacks, 1987-97, Directorate of Central Intelligence, Counterterrorist Center
• International Incidents & Casualties by Region, 1997, Directorate of Central Intelligence, Counterterrorist Center
• Anti-US Attacks by Region, 1997, Directorate of Central Intelligence, Counterterrorist Center
• International Incidents by Facility, 1997, Directorate of Central Intelligence, Counterterrorist Center
• International Incidents by Victim, 1997, Directorate of Central Intelligence, Counterterrorist Center
• International Incidents by Type of Event, 1997, Directorate of Central Intelligence, Counterterrorist Center

Last updated: 06/2001

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