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CNS Research StoryKyrgyz Government Ousted
By Scott Parrish and Margarita Sevcik March 24, 2005
During an appearance on national television, Bakiyev announced that Prime Minister Nikolay Tanayev and the entire government resigned, with the exception of the head of the National Security Service and the Minister of Defense.[2] There are conflicting reports regarding the resignation and whereabouts of President Akayev. The Russian news agency RIA Novosti, citing another Kyrgyz opposition leader, Felix Kulov, reported that Akayev had signed his resignation. By contrast, Reuters reported that Kulov refuted the report that Akayev had resigned.[3] Akayev's current location is also uncertain. Interfax reported that his plane, although initially headed to Russia, landed in Kazakhstan in the late afternoon of March 24. Kazakhstani officials, however, have denied these reports.[4] The dramatic events in Bishkek followed protests which began in the southern cities of Osh and Jalal-Abad (for further information, see http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asia-pacific/4370875.stm; http://www.iwpr.net/index.pl?centasia_kyrgyzcrisis.html; http://enews.ferghana.ru/detail.php?id=821459449332.39,813,6421329) following the two rounds of Kyrgyz parliamentary elections on February 27 and March 13. The opposition condemned these elections as unfair, and labeled them a means for promoting the power of Akayev and his family. Both Akayev's daughter and son won parliamentary seats during the elections, while the opposition was handicapped by numerous restrictions on its campaign activities and decisions which barred some of its most popular members from standing as candidates. Lending credence to the opposition's complaints, the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) monitored the elections and concluded that they were seriously flawed and did not meet basic democratic standards.[5] Currently, there are three opposition leaders who are likely to become significant players in Kyrgyz politics following what is now being called the "tulip" or "people's" revolution. They are Kurmanbek Bakiyev (for more information, see http://eng.unitedcoalition.org/index.php?topic=uc_ndk), Felix Kulov, leader of the Ar-Namys party, political prisoner and former security minister and Bishkek mayor, and Roza Otunbayeva, former foreign minister (for more information, see http://eng.unitedcoalition.org/index.php?topic=uc_atajurt). Both Bakiyev and Otunbayeva are former allies of Akayev who broke with the former President and became harshly critical of him and his methods. Both leaders were on the ground in the Osh region in the south of the country, where the initial protests erupted. Kulov was released from jail by his supporters right after the protestors seized the While House. Following the seizure of the government building and the apparent departure of Akayev from the country, the Kyrgyz Supreme Court held an emergency session and annulled the results of the 17 February and March 13 parliamentary elections, reinstating the previous parliament. That parliament met later on 24 March in an emergency session to appoint a new leadership. It named opposition deputy Ishenbai Kadyrbekov as Acting President, and Bakiyev as Acting Prime Minister. Kulov, fresh from his release from prison, was appointed to take charge of the security forces. His task may not be simple, as Reuters and Russian news agencies reported numerous incidents of looting in Bishkek during the night of 24-25 March. Gangs of youths were reportedly roaming the streets smashing their way into stores and setting fires.[6] Later that night, however, the Kyrgyz Parliament appointed Kurmanbek Bakiyev acting president and prime-minister. Roza Otunbayeva was appointed as the acting minister of foreign affairs. Bakiyev promised to hold new presidential elections "within three months."[7] Roza Otunbaeva confirmed that new elections are planned for June 2005, Russian online newspaper Gazeta.ru reported.[8] Many commentators have been drawing parallels between Kyrgyzstan and the post-Soviet states of Georgia and Ukraine, in which the "rose" and "orange" revolutions took place in 2003 and 2004 respectively. Many analysts point out, however, that the Kyrgyz protests appear more spontaneous and less organized than those in Georgia and Ukraine. [9] The reports of looting from Bishkek also suggest another difference, as the events in Georgia and Ukraine were relatively peaceful. The implications of the change of government for Kyrgyz foreign policy remain unclear. At the moment, Kyrgyzstan is host to both Russian and U.S. military bases. The U.S. base is situated there to support the global war on terrorism, especially operations in nearby Afghanistan. In addition, Kyrgyzstan recently agreed with its four neighbors--Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan--on the text of a draft treaty establishing a nuclear-weapon-free zone in Central Asia. The five states had also agreed to sign the treaty as soon as possible. (For more information, see http://cns.miis.edu/pubs/nisexcon/pdfs/ob_0502e.pdf.) International
reaction to events in Kyrgyzstan was mixed. The United States reacted generally
positively, but expressed concern about possible violence and disorder following
the collapse of the Akayev regime. U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice
expressed optimism that despite the violence and looting taking place, the
events of 24 March could begin a political process that would produce a stable
and democratic government in Kyrgyzstan. She called for dialogue and restraint
by all parties in Kyrgyzstan.[10] Russia, meanwhile, reacted more negatively,
with Russian Defense Minister Sergey Ivanov criticizing the opposition for
failing to bring stability to the situation in the country. (For general
information about Russian influence in Central Asia, see
http://www.csis.org/ruseura/ponars/policymemos/pm_0335.pdf.) Neighboring
Kazakhstan expressed concern with the situation in Kyrgyzstan, saying the
developments could negatively impact on the country's social-economic
development. Kazakhstan has also closed its border with Kyrgyzstan.[11]
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